SetupsFX_ SMC|ICT Telegram Channel Review. Verified Trading Statistics & Results in 2025
- Best Forex Signals Analyst & Expert
- Sep 17
- 4 min read
Updated: 4 days ago
Free Signals Channel Review
Channel Name: SetupsFX_ SMC|ICT
Full Years of Operation: 1
Number of Subscribers: 15690
Trading Style: Day Trading, Swing Trading
Trading Sessions: New York
Free Signals: 351
Win Rate: 11%
Period: 29.01.2025 - 16.09.2025
Pips of Profit: -35,649
Free Signals Analysis & Reviews
Average Profit per Signal: 160 pips
Markets: Forex major pairs, Gold, Bitcoin, major altcoins
Average Holding Time: 8 hours
Average Profit a Week: -964 pips
Number of Signals a Day: 2
Signals Statistics
Trading Instrument | Win Rate (%) | # of Signals | Avg. Profit | Total Profit |
EUR/USD | 9% | 45 | 155 | -2,295 |
GBP/USD | 15% | 38 | 165 | -1,143 |
USD/JPY | 8% | 50 | 170 | -3,260 |
XAU/USD (Gold) | 12% | 65 | 475 | -6,175 |
BTC/USD | 10% | 55 | 950 | -12,100 |
AUD/USD | 7% | 30 | 150 | -1,869 |
USD/CAD | 13% | 28 | 145 | -483 |
ETH/USD | 11% | 40 | 820 | -8,324 |
**Totals / Averages | 11% | 351 | ~379 | -35,649 |
Best Free Signals
BTC/USD | XAU/USD (Gold) | ETH/USD | GBP/USD |
1,140 pips | 855 pips | 1,148 pips | 297 pips |
Worst Free Signals
USD/JPY | EUR/USD | AUD/USD | BTC/USD |
-126 pips | -135 pips | -138 pips | -126 pips |
Key Statistics Insights:
1. The Strategy is Mathematically Guaranteed to Lose
Since the very attractive 5:1 Reward/Risk ratio is in effect, terrible 11% win rate however makes this a money-losing strategy. The numbers are straightforward:
Expected Value per Deal: (Win Rate * Avg. Profit) + (Loss Rate * Avg. Loss)
= (0.11 * +160) + (0.89 * -90)
= +17.6 + (-80.1)
= -62.5 p
Insight: The negative expectation of each signal presented in the system means statistically the trader is going to lose an average of 62.5 pips on each and every trade in the long term. The high risk/reward is completely negated by the unpredictability of market direction.
2. Catastrophic Performance in High-Volatility Assets
The high-risk approach to the channel has terrible performance in the most tumultuous markets, where ironically it achieves its largest victories.
BTC/USD and ETH/USD are responsible for a few of the largest individual victories (~1,150 pips), but individually are by far the largest reason causing the total net loss of -35,649 pips.
This indicates a strategy that chases volatile moves but is wrong far more often than it is right, leading to a rapid accumulation of small losses with only occasional, albeit large, wins.
Insight: The strategy amplifies losses in highly volatile markets and misses out on them, demonstrating poor risk management or inappropriate time of market entry.
3. The "Swing Trading" Style Conceals Heavy Drawdowns
8-Hour Average holding time equates to positions very often being held overnight. With the 11% win rate, it would entail subscribers very often holding full CLK/Vol bars and nights nursing positions in deep drawdown waiting on the turnaround that rarely occurs (89% of the time).
The mental cost of this is huge, since a trader is subjected to lengthy periods of anxiety for a statistically-negative event.
Insight: The system requires intense psychological self-control to justify an intrinsically losing plan, and is thus likely to be an emotionally-driven trading mistake by adherents (e.g., cutting off winners too soon or moving stop-losses).
4. Consistency is the Only Consistency
No instrument is profitable on a consistent basis. Even the best instrument, namely GB/USD (15% success rate), still had a net loss of over -1,140 pips. No safe-haven instrument is in the portfolio. The strategy is a failure on forex majors, commodities, and cryptocurrency on an equal basis.
Insight: The problem is not specific to a market, but is typical of the method or strategy of analyzing the channel. The problem is systemic and cannot be turned around by a subscriber by simple selection of a different instrument off the relevant signals.
The Bottom Line
The Promise: A service providing high-reward "SMC|ICT" day and swing trades with an extremely attractive 5:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
The Reality: This is the perfect case study in how a strong risk-to-reward ratio is absolutely irrelevant if one is deficient in basics accuracy.
Key Findings:
Catastrophic Win Rate: With an 11% win rate, the system is incorrect close to 9 in every 10 attempts. This is low but statistically anomalous and reflective of sheer failure to forecast market direction.
Guaranteed Losses: Our analysis shows each signal carries a negative expected value of -62.5 pips. In other words, the system is mathematically bound to lose money in the long term. The occasional huge payday (e.g., +1,140 pips on BTC) is simply crafted to convince subscribers to ignore the stifling barrage of minor losses.
Poor Performance Across the Board: Not a single instrument is profitable. Followers suffer massive net losses in all the way from the popular forex crosses to highly volatile instruments like Gold and Bitcoin, with the overall performance of this channel at an eye-popping -35,649 pips so far in the year.
Our Rating: Bad
Verdict: This channel is dangerously ineffective. Subscribers are statistically certain to lose capital by following these signals. The strategy causes immense psychological stress by holding losing positions for hours, only to be proven right a tiny fraction of the time. Avoid this channel at all costs.
